Free Agency is underway and already there have been many rumors and negotiations between NBA franchises and the top-tier free agents. The Small Forward position is the deepest position in the Free Agent Class of 2009. Among the top small forwards are Trevor Ariza, Hedo Turkoglu, Shawn Marion, and Ron Artest. Many teams have already expressed their interest in these players, and each one of them will find a suitor in a short period of time.
Player-By-Player Analysis
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Trevor Ariza
08-09 Season Stats: 8.9 ppg / 4.3 rpg / 1.8 apg / .460 FG% / .710 FT% / .319 3P% / 1.67 spg / 0.29 bpg / 1.06 to / 24.4 mpg
Height: 6’8″ / Weight: 210 lbs. / Age: 24 / Last Year’s Salary: $3,100,000 / Last Team: Los Angeles Lakers (65-17; NBA Champs)
Trevor Ariza has the most potential out of all the free agent small forwards, but right now he is also not as good as the veterans. Ariza has shown that he has a strong work ethic by improving his 3-point shooting dramatically from the 07-08 season, as well as improving during the season. Last season he shot .319% from 3-point range, much better than his career average of .299% from behind the arc. But, most impressive, is that during the postseason he stepped up his game and shot .476% from behind the arc as well as increasing his scoring and assist averages while shooting a higher FG%. His 3-point shooting and defense was vital for the Lakers’ title run.
Ariza still isn’t good as creating his own shot, but he is excellent at moving without the ball and getting open for 3′s. During the regular season and postseason, Ariza hit many huge shots for the Lakers, with many of them being 3-pointers. Ariza is already one of the top role players in the league, and should continue to improve. He is also unaffected by pressure and can make shots at the end of games, something that is extremely valuable in a player. He also steps up his defense at the end of games and many times came up with critical steals throught the regular season and postseason. At the extremely young age of 24, Trevor still has plenty of time to improve his game. Expect him to become a lock-down 1-on-1 defender as well as a better shooter and offensive initiator.
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Ron Artest
08-09 Season Stats: 17.1 ppg / 5.2 rpg / 3.3 apg / .401 FG% / .748 FT% / .399 3P% / 1.52 spg / 0.35 bpg / 2.03 to / 35.5 mpg
Height: 6’7″ / Weight: 260 lbs. / Age: 29 / Last Year’s Salary: $7,400,000 / Last Team: Houston Rockets (53-29; 2nd Round)
Ron-Ron is definitely the toughest player in this year’s free agent class (and possibly the league), but he is also the most mentally unstable. Ron Artest proved last season that he can stay under control and not cause problems, but who knows how long he can keep that up. Artest is a very talented player, especially on the defensive end, but his history and craziness scares some teams away as well as making some teams not want to give him a long term deal. While Artest is worth around $10 million a year, he will only be getting the Mid-Level Exception (around $5.6 million) due to most teams not having cap room. Artest shot a low percentage last season due to taking way too many bad shots, but don’t expect him to do that if he is teamed up with LeBron James or Kobe Bryant.
One of Artest’s greatest strength though is literally his strength. He is an extremely strong and tough player, which helps him on offense and defense. He is one of the best 1-on-1 perimeter defenders in the league and doesn’t back down from anyone, even if they are torching him (e.g.: anytime he is playing Kobe Bryant). While he is viewed as crazy and unstable by mostly every NBA fan, he is also one of the biggest competitors and will do whatever it takes to win. Artest is a really good 3-point shooter and can create his own shot well, one of the weaknesses of Shawn Marion and Trevor Ariza.
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Hedo Turkoglu
08-09 Season Stats: 16.8 ppg / 5.3 rpg / 4.9 apg / .413 FG% / .356 3P% / .807 FT% / 0.83 spg / 0.25 bpg / 2.65 to / 36.6 mpg
Height: 6’10″ / Weight: 220 lbs. / Age: 30 / Last Year’s Salary: $6,864,200 / Last Team: Orlando Magic (59-23; NBA Finals)
Hedo Turkoglu was the most improved player in the 07-08 season, and with a strong 08-09 season he is now looking to get the biggest paycheck of his life. Turkoglu developed into a clutch player and offensive initiator in the 07-08 season, and continued that into the 08-09 season. He can create his own shot and create shots for others, something that Ariza, Artest, and Marion aren’t very good at doing. Hedo also has a huge size advantage over the other small forwards. But, one of Turkoglu’s problems is that he is a mediocre defensive player, which also happens to be the strengths of Marion, Artest, and Ariza. Turkoglu is clearly the best offensive player, and worst defensive player of the group.
Turkoglu has the ability to create his own shot and do it well, but he has a tendency to take a lot of bad shots. He also gets a ton of open looks due to the other stars on his team, just like Ariza does on the Lakers. His shoots a low % due to his bad shots. But his numbers are also benefited from having Rashard Lewis and Dwight Howard to pass to for assists and they also take pressure off of him on offense. Turkoglu is one of the “point-forwards” in the league. Point-forwards are small or power forwards that have the ability to dribble the ball up court and set up teammates for scores. Lamar Odom and LeBron James are 2 of the more well-known point-forwards in the league.
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Shawn Marion
08-09 Season Stats: 12.9 ppg / 8.5 rpg / 2.0 apg / .485 FG% / .189 3P% / .796 FT% / 1.28 spg / 1.0 bpg / 1.52 to / 35.8 mpg
Height: 6’7″ / Weight: 228 lbs. / Age: 31 / Last Year’s Salary: $17,810,000 / Last Team: Toronto Raptors (33-49; Missed Playoffs)
The Matrix is only a star in an up-tempo style of play with a premier pass-first point guard. Without those 2 things he is only an above-average role player. Marion is a terrible outside shooter, expecially without Steve Nash to get him open looks, and can’t create shots for himself or others. But, he is one of the best players in the league on a fast break, as well as the best rebounder for his size in the league. Of the free agent small forwards, Shawn Marion is the best at blocking shots and rebounding, but the worst player on the offensive end of the court. The only offense Marion can create for himself is the occasional post-up of a smaller player or a drive to the basket.
Shawn also has an attitude problem. He wants to be the star and go-to guy of a team, but he can’t create his own shot and can’t set up teammates for open shots. Though he is one of the top players in the league you would want on the fastbreak with you or guarding the other team’s star player with the game on the line, he creates too many problems and doesn’t really have a position. He can’t shoot or dribble well enough to be a small forward and his too small to be a power foward.
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